US online media Axios reported on the 15th (local time) that while many parts of the world are suffering from extreme heat waves, there is a 99% chance that this year will be the ‘hottest year’.
The US non-profit environmental science organization ‘Berkeley Earth스포츠토토‘ analyzed using its own method and found that there is a 99% chance that this year will be the hottest year.
Not only that, but the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) has also projected that this year has a greater than 99.5% chance of being in the top 5 on record for warming, Axios said.
Just last June, NOAA said there was a 20.2% chance that this year would be the hottest year ever. However, a month later, the probability that this year will be the hottest year has more than doubled to 46.8%.
NOAA chief scientist Sarah Kafnik told a press briefing that there were 533 consecutive months of warmer than 20th century average temperatures and 47 consecutive months of warmer than 20th century average July temperatures.
On the 13th, NOAA also announced that July this year was the hottest July in NOAA ‘s 174-year observational record.
National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( NASA)”Not only does this year have the potential to be an exceptionally warm year and one of the hottest years ever,” said Gavin Schmidt, climate scientist at .
“This observation is important because the rise in global average temperature from the early El Niño event will not be fully felt until next year,” Axios said.